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World Bank raises growth forecast at 3.9%

In 2023, the economy of Thailand is predicted to develop at a faster rate of 3.9% thanks to rising demand from China, Europe, and the US as well as rising travel and individual consumption.

However, because of weaker external demand, growth is anticipated to slow in 2024 and 2025. By 2023, inflation is predicted to moderate to 2%. The World Bank stated in its most recent Thailand Economic Monitor report that the return of tourists, particularly those from China, has brightened the outlook for the tourism industry.

The tourism industry is recovering, and there is robust private consumption, according to the World Bank, which has increased its prediction for Thailand’s economic growth to 3.9% for 2023.

This year, there will likely be 28.5 million tourists arrive, which is 84% more than there were before the pandemic. A large portion of these visitors will likely be Chinese.

Although Thailand’s economy is expected to develop, downside factors including slower global growth and political unpredictability continue to limit the country’s chances of rapid expansion in the near future.

Risks persist despite recent progress because of slower global growth and political unpredictability.

An aging population, environmental problems, a drop in export competitiveness, and significant family debt are just a few of the difficulties Thailand is facing. In order to address the nation’s susceptibility to floods and droughts, the report underlines the necessity of effective climate adaptation.

In order to address the nation’s vulnerability to floods and droughts, the research emphasizes the need for a stronger framework for climate adaptation. The costs of these natural calamities could be high if sufficient adaptation isn’t made.

To prioritize flood and drought prevention strategies, the paper advises investing in water resource infrastructure, controlling land and water use, and enacting legislative and institutional reforms. Enhancing resilience also necessitates creating a circular economy, incorporating nature-based solutions, and increasing water usage efficiency.

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